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2011年8月30日 星期二

[Super Series]2011常州李寧盃中國羽球大師賽籤表分析 Part 1

 先以中華隊選手的機會來分析, 男單選手許仁豪的籤運最差, 因為他首役就將面對世界冠軍林丹, 即使首輪落敗至少也得個經驗. 後來是周天成, 他首役即使擊敗泰國的坦農薩克, 次輪可能也難過中國"帥哥"--鮑春來. 雖然他世錦賽被李永波棄用, 不過這段時間應該會更努力訓練, 希望能掙回參加2012年倫敦奧運會的機會.

 薛軒億首役的對手是丹麥第二男單歐約根森, 他因為受傷而臨時缺席本屆世錦賽, 改由維廷哈斯瓜代, 沒想到維廷哈斯還取得不錯成績, 維廷哈斯第一次的對手是鮑春來. 雖然以往實力歐約根森遠勝薛軒億, 但不知他傷後復出, 實力恢復得如何. 薛軒億若獲勝晉級, 第二輪的對手可能是三號種子--諶龍.
他在世錦賽遭到爆冷淘汰, 雖然李永波特地發微博鼓勵他, 但他的信心恢復得如何, 會不會患得患失, 若再晉級將在八強賽遭遇韓國老將李炫一, 這一關就很難過.

 男單八強應該是林丹[1] vs 佐佐木翔[6], 陳金[4] vs 鮑春來[7], 李炫一[8] vs 諶龍[3]或薛軒億, 彼得.蓋德[2] vs 杜鵬宇[5]或田兒賢一. 決賽很可能是林丹[1] vs 彼德.蓋德[2]

 中華隊的女單選手全部被擠在同一個1/4區, 戴資穎首戰王適嫻, 白驍馬的對手則是剛贏得越南GP公開賽女單冠軍的新加坡選手伏明天, 若取勝將可能再戰王適嫻. 鄭韶婕首役對手是從資格賽晉級的選手, 可能是中國的陳曉佳, 第二輪的對手就世錦賽準決賽的對手--德國的荀恩克, 八強賽將再遇王適嫻.

 中國連續兩年贏得世錦賽女單冠軍的選手都在常州大師賽上受傷, 包括2009年的盧蘭及2010年的王琳, 希望今年剛贏得世錦賽冠軍的王儀涵能夠擺脫這個魔咒. 中國除了王儀涵, 王適嫻之外, 還有五位選手報名女單, 汪鑫, 蔣燕皎, 劉鑫, 李雪芮及盧蘭. 日本隊似乎是為備戰日本公開賽派出大隊人馬來調整狀態, 包括廣瀨榮理子, 佐藤冴香, 後藤愛, 栗原文香, 今別府香里三谷美菜津.

 上半區只有賽娜.內瓦爾及成池鉉會對中國女單軍團造成干擾, 下半區有蒂娜.鮑恩, 鄭韶婕及荀恩克圍攻汪鑫及王適嫻.

待續...

 補充: 已透過 Twitter 向世界羽聯(BWFmedia)反應女單籤表不公平的現象, 接著等他們週五恢復上班再看看他們會有什麼反應.

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