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2018年7月18日 星期三

[世錦賽]籤表出爐, 戴資穎只要穩紮穩打,穿金戴銀不是問題

 2018年道達盃世界羽球錦標賽將於 7月30日於中國南京開打, 雖然有像去年的混雙冠軍-印尼好手阿瑪德/納西爾為了世錦賽結束後兩週於印尼雅加達舉行的亞洲運動會而放棄生涯最後一次一起參加世錦賽的機會, 以及像丹麥女雙好手-萊特.茱兒因為懷孕等個人因素缺席本屆世錦賽, 但幾乎世界頂尖好手幾乎全部到齊, 而不會像日本選手奧原希望去年在贏得世錦賽冠軍之後卻仍感到有些遺憾, 因為女單世界排名第一的選手戴資穎為了參加在家鄉舉行的大學運動會而缺席。

 世界羽聯昨天在吉隆坡總部, 有馬來西亞男雙選手吳蔚昇/陳蔚強, 混雙選手吳柳螢及教練陳儀慧現場見證下完成今年世錦賽的抽籤, 抽籤的結果自然是幾家歡樂幾家愁, 而最不開心的應該是中國國家隊單打教練夏煊澤及馬來西亞男雙教練 因為中國四位男單選手全部抽在上半區,而馬來西亞只有兩組男雙參賽, 但是他們很可能就必須在第二輪一決生死。

 雖然男單項目是 64 位選手, 但是實際上比較有實力, 較常參加國際比賽的選手也就 30 ~40 位選手, 所以我把籤表縮減成 32 強籤表, 除非在首輪出現一些令人意外的冷門, 否則大致也就是如此。

 石宇奇, 諶龍, 林丹, 黃宇翔等四位中國男單選手全部集中在上半部, 石宇奇與林丹甚至將在在16強賽提前碰頭, 周天成若能在16強賽擊敗印度選手潘諾乙及香港選手黃永棋的勝者之後, 也將在八強賽強碰林丹與石宇奇的勝者, 周天成在去年八強賽輸給最後的冠軍-安賽龍。

 李宗偉則是將在首輪再度跟法國選手列佛德茲交手, 李宗偉去年在首輪遭列佛德茲爆冷淘汰, 讓他提前出局, 留下難堪的回憶, 今年李宗偉應該會做好準備, 不讓舊事重演。

 如果以今年以來的成績來看, 桃田賢斗晉級四強幾無疑義, 就看李宗偉能否在準決賽攔下他. 而林丹也將會全力以赴, 證明自己還沒被年輕選手淘汰, 因為亞洲運動會比照奧運規則各國每個項目最多只有兩個代表名額, 而 7月18日是報名截止日, 所以除非教練團有特別考量, 否則他應該已經失去參加亞運會的資格, 所以本屆世錦賽就是他證明自己寶刀未老的最後機會, 如果這次在世錦賽再度輸給石宇奇, 他真得要考慮退役, 即使跟日本 Yonex 的合約還未到期。

男單 安賽龍()[1] VS 黃宇翔()
男單 伍家朗() VS Raul Must(愛沙尼亞)
男單 諶龍()[8]/許仁豪() VS 寇西特()
男單 西本拳太()[14] VS 塞倫特()
男單 石宇奇()[3] VS 奧賽夫()
男單 林丹()[9] VS 撒米爾()/柯維()
男單 周天成()[7] VS 耿克()
男單 潘諾乙()[11] VS 黃永棋()
男單 安通森()[16]/坦農薩克() VS 阮進明()
男單 桃田賢斗()[6] VS (土)/()
男單 湯米.蘇吉亞托()[15] VS 維廷胡斯()
男單 孫完虎()[4] VS 賽播尼斯()/坂井一將()
男單 約拿丹()[13]/劉國倫() VS 尼祿卡()/齊伯曼()
男單 斯里坎特()[5] VS 阿比安(西)
男單 金廷()[12]/蘇潘育() VS 常山幹太()
男單 李宗偉()[2]/列佛德茲() VS 王子維()

 以戴資穎目前的狀態晉級四強沒有太大問題, 就看泰國選手因達農能否殺進四強來威脅戴資穎, 戴資穎今年以來只輸過一場比賽, 那就是馬來西亞大師賽決賽, 以 16-21, 21-14, 22-24 的些微差距輸給因達農, 不過近期戴資穎穩定表現, 即使在世錦賽準決賽再遇到因達農,輸球的機率也不大, 我反而擔心因達農進不了四強。

 奧原希望剛在泰國公開賽決賽直落二擊敗普撒拉.辛杜, 讓她對備戰世錦賽增加不少信心, 如果順利的話, 晉級四強也不會有太大問題, 反倒是她的隊友山口茜必須在八強過得了陳雨菲這一關。

女單 戴資穎()[1] VS 陳煊渝(澳洲)
女單 張蓓雯()[12] VS 柯拉芮絲(西)
女單 何冰嬌()[6] VS 李美妙()/葉姵延()
女單 李文珊()[13] VS 阮翠玲()
女單 因達農()[4] VS 米婭()
女單 賽娜.內瓦爾()[10] VS 賈奎特()
女單 瑪琳(西)[7] VS 布莎蘭()
女單 佐藤冴香()[15] VS 謝抒芽()
女單 大堀彩()[14] VS 白馭珀()/吳堇溦()
女單 奧原希望()[8] VS Rachel Honderich()
女單 成池鉉()[9] VS 武氏庄()
女單 普撒拉.辛杜()[3] VS 翡翠雅妮()
女單 張雁宜()[16] VS 陳曉欣()/蕾娜()
女單 陳雨菲()[5] VS 葵歌莉亞()/吉爾摩()
女單 倪查儂()[11] VS ()/()
女單 山口茜()[2] VS 科塞茲卡婭()

 中華隊雖然有四組男雙參賽, 但是廖敏竣/蘇敬恒與盧敬堯/楊博涵很可能就在第二輪 32 強碰頭, 馬來西亞只有兩組男雙參賽, "雙蔚"必須擊敗後輩隊友-王耀新/張御宇才能晉級, 而不久前才傳出馬國教練團對"雙蔚"組合失望的消息。

 男雙項目的競爭本來就很激烈, 有時候勝負只是一念之間, 一個不留神就可能被對手殺個片甲不留, 即使印尼"小小兵"-吉第翁/凱勝功最被看好, 但是八強賽開始, 就場場都是硬仗, 去年的冠軍張楠/劉成則是更早就要遭遇強敵, 像 16 強賽會遇到日本的遠藤大由/渡邊勇大, 八強賽會遇到中華隊或丹麥的康拉德/高爾汀, 準決賽可能會遇上李俊慧/劉雨辰。

男雙 吉第翁/凱勝功()[1] VS 韓呈愷/周昊東()
男雙 伊凡諾夫/索佐諾夫()[10] VS ()/(保)
男雙 嘉村健士/園田啟悟()[5] VS 伊犁雅涅/南達煦()
男雙 阿爾費安/阿迪安托()[9] VS 阿倫茲/吉烈()
男雙 鮑伊/摩根森()[3] VS 馬斯/塔別林()
男雙 陳宏麟/王齊麟()[14] VS 藍馥斯/塞德爾()
男雙 井上拓斗/金子祐樹()[7] VS 阿特力/舒米斯()
男雙 阿格力萬/哈迪安托()[15] VS 龐卡雅尼拉/尤素夫()/吉悌努蓬/德查波爾()
男雙 李洋/李哲輝()[12] VS 鄭義錫/金德永()/謝定峰/蘇偉譯()
男雙 阿斯特拉普/安德斯()[8] VS M.艾利斯/蘭瑞奇()/藍基雷迪/薛第()
男雙 吳蔚昇/陳蔚強() VS 王耀新/張御宇()
男雙 李俊慧/劉雨辰()[4] VS 小林優吾/保木卓朗()
男雙 廖敏竣/蘇敬恒()[11] VS 盧敬堯/楊博涵()
男雙 康拉德/高爾汀()[6] VS 何濟霆/譚強()
男雙 遠藤大由/渡邊勇大()[16] VS 揚森/澤逢內()
男雙 張楠/劉成()[2] VS 鄧俊文/柯展聰()

 雙打項目只有 48 個名額,  所以種子選手都不必打第一輪比賽, 直接晉級第二輪, 中國第一及第二女雙將在16強賽碰頭, 日本的高橋礼華/松友美佐紀也必須在16強賽跟隊友-松本麻佑/永原和可那爭奪八強資格, 除非印尼的波麗/拉哈育大爆發, 否則冠軍一定是屬於中國或日本隊。

女雙 陳清晨/賈一凡()[1] VS ()/()
女雙 杜玥/李茵暉()[10] VS ()
女雙 波麗/拉哈育()[5] VS 吳詠瑢/袁倩瀅()
女雙 鄒美君/李明艷()[13] VS 伊莎貝爾/卡爾拉()
女雙 高橋礼華/松友美佐紀()[3] VS 許佳雯/溫可微()
女雙 松本麻佑/永原和可那()[11] VS 許雅晴/吳玓蓉()/黃東萍/李汶妹()
女雙 鍾孔蟠/勞英達()[7] VS 琳達/耶娃()
女雙 梅肯/莎拉.居森()[15] VS 沙旺特/戈派德()
女雙 查雅妮/繆王()[16] VS 林筱閔/吳芳茜()
女雙 黛拉.哈里斯/麗茲姬()[8] VS 賈卡蓬迪/蒲薇夏()
女雙 黃雅瓊/于小含()[12] VS 蘇帕瑪特/魯猜察諾()
女雙 田中志穗/米元小春()[4] VS 拉瑪德罕地/阿嘉莎()
女雙 安姬婭/瑪哈黛薇()[14] VS 張淨惠/楊景惇()
女雙 李紹希/申昇瓚()[6] VS 喬安娜/拉拉()/吳芷柔/楊雅婷()
女雙 史托耶娃姊妹()[9] VS 莉莎/漢娜()
女雙 福島由紀/廣田彩花()[2] VS 姜凱心/洪詩涵()/波納帕/西綺()

 中華隊雖然在女雙及混雙都有四組參賽, 但是拿牌機會並不大, 因為像盧敬堯/姜凱心, 姜凱心/洪詩涵都將在 32 強挑戰頭號及二號種子. 而香港的鄧俊文/謝影雪只要在八強賽擊敗陳炳順/吳柳螢就能拿牌。

混雙 鄭思維/黃雅瓊()[1] VS 盧敬堯/姜凱心()/德雷米/迪摩娃()
混雙 費札爾/葛羅莉亞()[12] VS 秋普拉/西綺()
混雙 吳順發/賴潔敏()[7] VS 亞倫茲/匹克()
混雙 藍馥斯/伊莎貝爾()[15] VS 諾爾/莎拉.居森()/藍基雷迪/波納帕()
混雙 克里斯提安森/佩卓森()[4] VS 李晉熙/周凱華()
混雙 德查波爾/莎普西莉()[10] VS 廖敏竣/陳曉歡()/陳建銘/賴沛晶()
混雙 張楠/李茵暉()[5] VS 凱斯鮑爾/奧嘉()
混雙 王齊麟/李佳馨()[14] VS 馬基兄妹()
混雙 M.艾利斯/羅琳()[11] VS 小林優吾/松友美佐紀()
混雙 陳炳順/吳柳螢()[8] VS ()
混雙 普拉文/梅拉蒂()[13] VS 拉霸/方婷()
混雙 鄧俊文/謝影雪()[3] VS 楊東尼/季斯卡()
混雙 何濟霆/杜玥()[9] VS 李洋/許雅晴()
混雙 阿德庫克夫妻()[6] VS (加)()
混雙 渡邊勇大/東野有紗()[16] VS ()/()
混雙 王懿律/黃東萍()[2] VS 柯紹第/帕勒摩(法)/羅納德/阿妮莎()

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家徒四壁, 唯好讀書!

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