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2012年5月19日 星期六

[轉載]中國羽球隊奪冠前景分析 -- 長江日報



中國《長江日報》5月19日 記者 高崇成 熊淩潔

男隊: 衝擊五連冠 要防五大攔路虎


  中國隊要想追平印尼創造的湯杯五連冠紀錄,印尼、韓國、丹麥、馬來西亞、日本這5只實力強勁的攔路虎不得不防。

  近年來受困於球隊年齡結構老化的印尼隊,實力下滑,不過,對印尼有利的是,老將陶菲克與北京奧運會羽球男雙冠軍馬基斯/亨德拉的世界排名都不高,都不是球隊的第一單打和第一雙打,從而避開了中國一哥林丹和第一雙打蔡贇/傅海峰。倘若中國隊二單諶龍和二雙柴飆/郭振東不能經受住考驗,就可能吃大虧。

  韓國隊因第一男雙鄭在成/李龍大組合中的鄭在成受傷缺席,球隊實力大打折扣,對中國隊奪冠的威脅也小了不少。丹麥隊實力不容小視,儘管蓋德很難在林丹身上討到好處,但兩個雙打和第二單打將使中國隊經受較大考驗。

  馬來西亞隊擁有當今羽壇可能撼動林丹的唯一人選——李宗偉,此外男雙“鑽石組合”古健傑/陳文宏也頗具實力,但其餘人選的實力與中國隊有較大差距。日本隊近幾年進步明顯,男單、男雙均具備了一定的實力,只是球隊缺乏突出強點,難以對中國隊形成致命威脅。

女隊: 重奪尤伯盃 女單小花挑重擔


  本屆尤伯杯,單雙打實力均衡的韓國隊仍是中國隊重奪尤伯杯賽上的最大對手。

  湯尤杯比賽都是五局三勝制,對比中國隊和主要對手的參賽陣容,中國隊在5場比賽中至少有3場佔優勢,女單排名世界前四的王儀涵、汪鑫、王適嫻和李雪芮悉數出征,女雙有世界前兩名于洋/王曉理、田卿/趙雲蕾壓陣。

  對韓國隊不利的是,3年前立下奇功的“三老”李敬元、李孝貞、裴升熙已經退役。女單方面,韓國隊兩名“90後”成池鉉、裴延姝成長很快,她們曾分別戰勝過王 儀涵、王適嫻、汪鑫,但總體上,韓國女單還是勝少負多。女雙方面,于洋/王曉理相比河貞恩/金旼貞優勢明顯,且韓國沒有第二對雙打可抗衡中國隊。

  日本隊擁有除中國隊外最強的一雙和二雙。女單老將廣瀨榮理子曾在2010年世錦賽戰勝了王儀涵,三谷美菜津則在去年亞錦賽擊敗了汪鑫。在不久前的尤伯杯亞洲區預選賽上,派出主力陣容的日本隊戰勝雪藏了大部分主力的中國隊奪得冠軍。不過相比女雙,日本女單的實力要稍遜一籌,正常發揮下,中國隊獲勝的希望更大。

 新聞來源: http://cjmp.cnhan.com/cjrb/html/2012-05/19/content_5006948.htm

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